Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.575064 4.132992 4.752204 5.490915 6.348964 7.315149 8.486976
2024-10-06 3.073369 3.866029 4.824670 6.071766 7.655008 9.603019 12.189697
2024-10-13 2.593285 3.510838 4.706865 6.385651 8.690824 11.758989 16.176196
2024-10-20 2.175529 3.144514 4.494967 6.524382 9.515235 13.789773 20.414386
2024-10-27 1.754968 2.688807 4.070284 6.277260 9.743526 15.026675 23.781264
2024-11-03 1.571444 2.541714 4.059159 6.626220 10.906528 17.838516 30.077909
2024-11-10 1.435994 2.441687 4.097449 7.051363 12.258770 21.184167 37.910544
2024-11-17 1.289146 2.294692 4.030122 7.281465 13.315873 24.216934 45.810993
2024-11-24 1.134232 2.105549 3.856100 7.287174 13.965531 26.632703 53.055796
2024-12-01 0.972113 1.875334 3.569094 7.029568 14.067386 28.032189 58.593480
2024-12-08 0.833617 1.666726 3.287885 6.731041 14.027617 29.132408 63.717596
2024-12-15 0.758816 1.571143 3.210130 6.826228 14.805677 32.028912 73.269489
2024-12-22 0.670861 1.439358 3.048208 6.738721 15.227196 34.353002 82.312023
2024-12-29 0.640024 1.424061 3.128623 7.198085 16.966246 39.972316 100.484397
2025-01-05 0.591693 1.362355 3.098539 7.402998 18.161489 44.588907 117.338570
2025-01-12 0.538561 1.280873 3.010595 7.455839 19.002765 48.530776 133.443780
2025-01-19 0.467840 1.146140 2.776304 7.106071 18.758901 49.683272 142.276632
2025-01-26 0.445302 1.125470 2.814199 7.458390 20.435302 56.254956 168.215081
2025-02-02 0.429062 1.117979 2.883796 7.908719 22.477277 64.280023 200.613858
2025-02-09 0.403868 1.082940 2.876552 8.147900 23.974095 71.086775 231.079069
2025-02-16 0.370807 1.021312 2.788435 8.141573 24.749984 75.935107 256.530072
2025-02-23 0.330380 0.932782 2.612310 7.844855 24.581813 77.853618 272.634022
2025-03-02 0.293325 0.847940 2.433051 7.505694 24.212080 79.057808 286.591878